1 00:00:00,020 --> 00:00:04,180 [Interviewer] “Joining us now from NASA’s Goddard Space Flight Center is Dr. Tom Wagner 2 00:00:04,200 --> 00:00:08,380 who is going to tell us a little bit more about Arctic sea ice. Thanks for joining us.” 3 00:00:08,400 --> 00:00:12,560 [Wagner] “Thanks for having me.”[Interviewer] “So last year was a record-breaking year for sea ice loss 4 00:00:12,580 --> 00:00:16,750 in the Arctic. What are we seeing this year?”[Wagner] “Well the good news is we’re not on 5 00:00:16,770 --> 00:00:20,940 track for another record. But the bad news is the ice didn’t really heal up anyway 6 00:00:20,960 --> 00:00:25,100 and it’s still shrinking into one of the lowest years on record and about the thinnest ice we’ve ever had as well.” 7 00:00:25,120 --> 00:00:29,280 [Interviewer] “So what does the long term trend look like?” 8 00:00:29,300 --> 00:00:33,420 [Wagner] “The long term trend is this. If you go back to like the 80s, we’ve lost more than half the sea ice that used 9 00:00:33,440 --> 00:00:37,540 to be around in the 80s. And we’re continuing over this last decade 10 00:00:37,560 --> 00:00:41,650 this ever-increasing loss of ice during the summer, but also this 11 00:00:41,670 --> 00:00:45,760 startling thinning that’s been going on as well. And so there’s people who talk 12 00:00:45,780 --> 00:00:49,860 “hey are we going to be reaching ice-free summers in the next few years” 13 00:00:49,880 --> 00:00:53,940 probably not. We’ll probably always form some ice over the North Pole where it’s cold, but the point is 14 00:00:53,960 --> 00:00:57,980 there’s so much ice lost that the Arctic is in a new state.” 15 00:00:58,000 --> 00:01:02,050 [Interviewer] “But the Arctic is far away. How does sea ice melting 16 00:01:02,070 --> 00:01:06,240 impact us in the United States or globally?” 17 00:01:06,260 --> 00:01:10,420 [Wagner] “Loss of Arctic sea ice is profoundly important for the globe for a number of reasons. 18 00:01:10,440 --> 00:01:14,600 First of all it’s one of the biggest knobs on global weather. This is one of the biggest 19 00:01:14,620 --> 00:01:18,780 physical changes on Earth. We have an ocean that used to be covered with a solid surface that’s going away. 20 00:01:18,800 --> 00:01:22,960 It affects the position of the jet stream which will now extend further north 21 00:01:22,980 --> 00:01:27,140 and further south and cause blocking patterns that could increase those periods of 22 00:01:27,160 --> 00:01:31,310 extreme heat and extreme cold in the U.S. But that’s just kind of the 23 00:01:31,330 --> 00:01:35,480 simplest thing. It could also affect storm tracks like Superstorm Sandy. 24 00:01:35,500 --> 00:01:39,670 It could also affect globally those weather patterns and those are the kind of cutting edge research questions 25 00:01:39,690 --> 00:01:43,830 that we’re working on right now. But also too 26 00:01:43,850 --> 00:01:47,960 the Arctic has massive stores of methane in the permafrost and also 27 00:01:47,980 --> 00:01:52,090 on the seabed. As we lose the sea ice we have more heat 28 00:01:52,110 --> 00:01:56,200 going into the ocean and we can also transport that heat, cause more permafrost thawing, 29 00:01:56,220 --> 00:02:00,250 destabilize the seabed, potentially trip the release 30 00:02:00,270 --> 00:02:04,320 of all this methane which could cause big spikes in global temperature. 31 00:02:04,340 --> 00:02:08,350 Also too the Arctic is overall the canary in the coalmine. 32 00:02:08,370 --> 00:02:12,390 The polar regions heat up faster than the rest of the planet. 33 00:02:12,410 --> 00:02:16,560 Basically in the tropics they’re getting warmer too, but that heat gets invected up into the atmosphere 34 00:02:16,580 --> 00:02:20,750 and gets pushed north and south. So the polar regions are kind of where 35 00:02:20,770 --> 00:02:24,940 the place where you would expect to see right away the warming effects really take place 36 00:02:24,960 --> 00:02:29,110 and that’s exactly what we’re seeing in the Arctic. And finally the Arctic is just one of the 37 00:02:29,130 --> 00:02:33,300 most fascinating, least explored places on Earth. You know the amazing 38 00:02:33,320 --> 00:02:37,460 animals like polar bears. You have these unique whales like the Narwhals 39 00:02:37,480 --> 00:02:41,630 and you have this really interesting ecosystem involving things like algae 40 00:02:41,650 --> 00:02:45,780 forming near the surface and sinking to the bed and creating this rich benthic environment that 41 00:02:45,800 --> 00:02:49,930 walruses then come in and exploit. And all of that is changing 42 00:02:49,950 --> 00:02:53,970 right now in real time.” 43 00:02:53,990 --> 00:02:58,120 [Interviewer] “So tell us what is NASA doing to better understand what’s going on in the Arctic?” 44 00:02:58,140 --> 00:03:02,140 [Wagner] “NASA does a couple of different things. First and foremost are the satellite studies. 45 00:03:02,160 --> 00:03:06,210 We use a range of satellites that document the sea ice and understand its connection to the global drivers of change. 46 00:03:06,230 --> 00:03:10,300 We also have some of the most sophisticated research aircraft in the world 47 00:03:10,320 --> 00:03:14,330 and we fly over the ice and shoot at it with lasers and radars 48 00:03:14,350 --> 00:03:18,500 and we have other devices to measure the variations of the Earth’s gravitational field 49 00:03:18,520 --> 00:03:22,690 and magnetic field. All to understand what’s going on with the ice. 50 00:03:22,710 --> 00:03:26,860 We don’t just work on the sea ice, we also study the glaciers of Alaska, 51 00:03:26,880 --> 00:03:31,040 the Canadian ice caps and the Greenland ice sheet where there’s been a lot of changes in recent years.” 52 00:03:31,060 --> 00:03:35,220 [Interviewer] “Can you tell us a little bit about some of the changes in Greenland?” 53 00:03:35,240 --> 00:03:39,400 [Wagner] “So last year for the first time in the record we had extensive 54 00:03:39,420 --> 00:03:43,580 melting across the entire surface of Greenland. Even the really high 55 00:03:43,600 --> 00:03:47,760 high cold parts. Also too are satellite data shows us that Greenland is 56 00:03:47,780 --> 00:03:51,930 not just losing more ice, it’s accelerating in its ice loss. 57 00:03:51,950 --> 00:03:56,070 And it’s losing ice not just from the warm south but also from the cold northern regions. 58 00:03:56,090 --> 00:04:00,220 And what people need to understand is that this isn’t just one 59 00:04:00,240 --> 00:04:04,320 study or one type of data, we shoot bounce lasers off the ice 60 00:04:04,340 --> 00:04:08,400 to measure the height. We use radar to study how fast the ice is flowing. 61 00:04:08,420 --> 00:04:12,450 And we actually use a satellite called GRACE, which is a pair of satellites orbiting the Earth, 62 00:04:12,470 --> 00:04:16,490 , that directly measure the mass change itself. And we have people out on 63 00:04:16,510 --> 00:04:20,530 the ground walking around and looking at this and banging GPS devices and looking at how 64 00:04:20,550 --> 00:04:24,700 fast sea ice is flowing into the ocean. And the simple fact is we’re losing 65 00:04:24,720 --> 00:04:28,870 a lot of ice out of Greenland.”[Interviewer] “What can you tell us about Antarctica?” 66 00:04:28,890 --> 00:04:33,060 [Wagner] “Antarctica is also a fascinating place and we’re losing 67 00:04:33,080 --> 00:04:37,240 a lot of ice from Antarctica particularly west Antarctica. With east Antarctica 68 00:04:37,260 --> 00:04:41,400 it’s a little bit more ambiguous. The problem is again we’re characterizing 69 00:04:41,420 --> 00:04:45,570 continental scale areas and we’re looking at subtle changes in ice. 70 00:04:45,590 --> 00:04:49,760 In some areas along the coast from satellites we can see that we’re losing 71 00:04:49,780 --> 00:04:53,910 30 feet of ice a year. Some of this is balanced by the amount of snowfall 72 00:04:53,930 --> 00:04:57,960 that falls in the interior of Antarctica and we’re working out that balance now. 73 00:04:57,980 --> 00:05:02,030 But overall Antarctica looks like it’s losing a lot of ice. Also too there’s sea ice 74 00:05:02,050 --> 00:05:06,110 that surrounds Antarctica that’s kind of analogous to the sea ice at the North Pole. 75 00:05:06,130 --> 00:05:10,170 The thing is though every year the Antarctic sea ice grows and then almost all of it retreats, 76 00:05:10,190 --> 00:05:14,210 but in recent years there’s been a little more growth of sea ice in some areas. 77 00:05:14,230 --> 00:05:18,280 So overall the Antarctic sea ice has been increasing a bit. But it’s a very 78 00:05:18,300 --> 00:05:22,470 different thing than what’s going on in the Arctic.” 79 00:05:22,490 --> 00:05:26,660 [Interviewer] “Where can we learn more about all of this?”